Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
