Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 9.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.92%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.