MX23RW : Tuesday, April 1 09:55:43| >> :600:3024767:3024767:
Peterborough United
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Crawley Town

Peterborough
2 - 1
Crawley

Burrows (28'), Mason-Clark (37')
Burrows (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tsaroulla (23')
Kelly (5'), Lolas (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Crawley Town

With both teams likely showing ambition to reach Wembley now that they have reached this stage, we expect full-strength sides to be named. However, that will only benefit Peterborough, who we think will record a relatively comfortable win on home territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCrawley Town
65.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 17.97%16.21%
Both teams to score 62.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.41%
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 65.82%
    Crawley Town 16.21%
    Draw 17.97%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 6.82%
3-0 @ 6.73%
4-1 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 4.1%
4-2 @ 2.67%
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 2%
5-2 @ 1.3%
4-3 @ 1.01%
6-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 65.82%
1-1 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 5.4%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.97%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 3.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-2 @ 1.82%
1-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 16.21%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Crawley

Peterborough United
79.3%
Draw
10.3%
Crawley Town
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Crawley
Washington (2'), Maddison (49')
Bostwick (19'), Zakuani (33'), Maddison (63')

Young (18'), Van Den Bogaert (27'), Harrold (82'), Bradley (89')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Peterborough
4-3
Crawley
Washington (43', 90'), Bostwick (51', 87')
Elliott (29'), Pogba (57'), Simpson (66')
Tomlin (95')
Oct 11, 2014 3pm
Crawley
1-4
Peterborough
McLeod (2')
Keane (64'), Harrold (82')
Smith (11'), Burgess (40'), Maddison (55'), Washington (58')
Bostwick (14'), Newell (81')
Mar 1, 2014 3pm
Crawley
1-0
Peterborough
Tubbs (86' pen.)
Sadler (42'), Tubbs (86')

Bostwick (10'), Baldwin (84')
Aug 31, 2013 3pm
Peterborough
0-2
Crawley

McCann (5')
Alexander (22', 65')
McFadzean (0'), Jones (31'), Bulman (33'), Jones (88'), Walsh (90')
rhs 2.0
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