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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Bolton logo

Wigan
0 - 1
Bolton


McHugh (24'), Dale (27'), Smith (64'), Aimson (65'), Asamoah (72'), McManaman (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Bolton
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Bolton Wanderers

Wigan's impressive record against Bolton should make them clear favourites to achieve victory on Tuesday. While the hosts have struggled for wins in recent weeks, Bolton's form is poor, and they could find it difficult to get back into the game should they concede first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
33.58% (1.38 1.38) 27.22% (0.247 0.25) 39.2% (-1.625 -1.63)
Both teams to score 49.92% (-0.4 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.672 -0.67)55.49% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.552 -0.55)76.67% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.59 0.59)31.04% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.684 0.68)67.35% (-0.68300000000001 -0.68)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (-1.209 -1.21)27.61% (1.211 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-1.585 -1.59)63.14% (1.587 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 33.57%
    Bolton Wanderers 39.2%
    Draw 27.22%
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.333 0.33)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 11.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.2%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bolton

Wigan Athletic
65.2%
Draw
10.9%
Bolton Wanderers
23.9%
46
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
0-2
Wigan

Johnston (9'), Santos (14'), Thomason (37')
Taylor (18'), Aasgaard (67')
Smith (20'), Sessegnon (26'), Carragher (72'), Taylor (77')
Feb 27, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Wigan
1-0
Bolton
Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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