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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Bolton logo

Wigan
0 - 1
Bolton


McHugh (24'), Dale (27'), Smith (64'), Aimson (65'), Asamoah (72'), McManaman (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Bolton
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Bolton Wanderers

Wigan's impressive record against Bolton should make them clear favourites to achieve victory on Tuesday. While the hosts have struggled for wins in recent weeks, Bolton's form is poor, and they could find it difficult to get back into the game should they concede first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
33.58% (1.38 1.38) 27.22% (0.247 0.25) 39.2% (-1.625 -1.63)
Both teams to score 49.92% (-0.4 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.672 -0.67)55.49% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.552 -0.55)76.67% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.59 0.59)31.04% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.684 0.68)67.35% (-0.68300000000001 -0.68)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (-1.209 -1.21)27.61% (1.211 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-1.585 -1.59)63.14% (1.587 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 33.57%
    Bolton Wanderers 39.2%
    Draw 27.22%
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.333 0.33)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 11.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.2%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bolton

Wigan Athletic
65.2%
Draw
10.9%
Bolton Wanderers
23.9%
46
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
0-2
Wigan

Johnston (9'), Santos (14'), Thomason (37')
Taylor (18'), Aasgaard (67')
Smith (20'), Sessegnon (26'), Carragher (72'), Taylor (77')
Feb 27, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Wigan
1-0
Bolton
Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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