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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Wigan logo

Bolton
0 - 2
Wigan


Johnston (9'), Santos (14'), Thomason (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (18'), Aasgaard (67')
Smith (20'), Sessegnon (26'), Carragher (72'), Taylor (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Bolton at home is usually a foregone conclusion from the first whistle, as Evatt's men have turned the Toughsheet Community Stadium into a fortress of late, even if they have struggled for clean sheets. As Wigan are out of sorts and looking a bit light up top, their stronghold over the Trotters should cease as Bolton beat the Latics in a competitive game for the first time since 2015. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawWigan Athletic
54.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 22.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.95% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)45.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.032000000000004 0.03)67.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)16.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (0.039999999999999 0.04)46.02% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 54.67%
    Wigan Athletic 22.29%
    Draw 23.04%
Bolton WanderersDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 22.29%

How you voted: Bolton vs Wigan

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Wigan Athletic
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Wigan
1-0
Bolton
Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Wigan
0-0
Bolton
(Aggregate 0-0 | Wigan win 5-4 on penalties)
Smith (38'), Darikwa (41'), McClean (43'), Power (44'), Pearce (60')
Kachunga (45+1'), Afolayan (75'), Lee (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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