La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 15, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Perez

Getafe
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Milla (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guruzeta (76'), Vivian (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 3-0 Getafe
Saturday, May 10 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Alaves
Sunday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 28.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
28.03% ( -0.08)	29.17% ( -0.03)	42.79% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 42.51% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.2% (

0.07)

63.8% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.96% (

0.05)

83.04% (

-0.05)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.38% (

-0.03)

39.61% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.7% (

-0.03)

76.29% (

0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

0.1)

29.6% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

0.13)

65.64% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Getafe 28.02%

Athletic Bilbao 42.79%

Draw 29.16%

Getafe	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 28.02%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.16%	0-1 @ 14.27% 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 42.79%