

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 29.08% ( | 29.29% ( | 41.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.19% ( | 63.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.95% ( | 83.05% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( | 38.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.51% ( | 75.49% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( | 30.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.56% ( | 66.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 3-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 2-2 @ 3.76% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 14.02% ( 0-2 @ 8.38% ( 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 41.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 97 | 36 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 70 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 67 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 59 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 52 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 48 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Valencia | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 43 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | GironaGirona | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 39 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 38 |
| 18 | Leganes | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 34 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 16 |
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