

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 11.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada | 
| 68.7% (  -0.01) | 19.85% (  0.02) | 11.45% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 42.08% (  -0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.75% (  -0.13) | 50.25% (  0.12) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.79% (  -0.11) | 72.2% (  0.11) | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.41% (  -0.04) | 13.58% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.3% (  -0.09) | 40.7% (  0.08) | 
| Granada Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 48.7% (  -0.1) | 51.3% (  0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.46% (  -0.07) | 85.54% (  0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada | 
| 1-0 @ 13.91% (  0.05) 2-0 @ 13.88% (  0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.24% (  0) 3-1 @ 6.17% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.61% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.08% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% (  -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.84% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 68.7% | 1-1 @ 9.29% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 3.09% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.85% | 0-1 @ 4.65% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 3.1% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.55% (  -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 11.45% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
