| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 30.53% ( | 26.27% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.44% ( | 52.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( | 74.22% ( |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% ( | 31.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.95% ( | 68.05% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( | 24.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.53% ( | 58.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 3-0 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.53% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 10 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 10 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Almeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | GironaGirona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Valencia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Getafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Real Valladolid | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
| 19 | ElcheElche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 1 |
| 20 | CadizCadiz | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
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