

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 51.36% | 25.32% | 23.31% |
| Both teams to score 49.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% | 53.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% | 74.94% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% | 20.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.53% | 53.46% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% | 37.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.25% | 74.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% 2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.65% 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 15 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 69 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 65 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | GironaGirona | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 46 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 44 |
| 13 | Almeria | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 16 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 37 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 35 |
| 18 | Getafe | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 35 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 31 |
| R | ElcheElche | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | 65 | -38 | 20 |
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