| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Betis |
| 40.18% | 24.83% | 34.99% |
| Both teams to score 58.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% | 45.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% | 67.42% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% | 22.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.14% | 55.86% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% | 25.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.18% | 59.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Betis |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-1 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 7 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 39 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 35 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | Almeria | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | GironaGirona | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
| 16 | Valencia | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 20 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 20 |
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 19 |
| 19 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 18 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 9 |
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