Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Western United |
| 45.13% ( | 24.45% ( | 30.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.17% ( | 44.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.81% ( | 67.19% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( | 19.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.83% ( | 52.16% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( | 27.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.6% ( | 63.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.13% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 27 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 25 |
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 21 |
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