

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 44.28% ( | 24.26% ( | 31.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( | 43.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.1% ( | 65.89% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( | 19.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.12% ( | 51.88% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( | 26.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.33% ( | 61.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 4-1 @ 2% ( 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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