Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
44.28% (![]() | 24.26% (![]() | 31.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.5% (![]() | 43.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.1% (![]() | 65.89% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.19% (![]() | 19.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.12% (![]() | 51.88% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% (![]() | 26.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% (![]() | 61.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 9.14% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 11.28% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.5% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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