Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 21.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
56.79% (![]() | 21.48% (![]() | 21.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% (![]() | 38.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39% (![]() | 60.99% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.5% (![]() | 13.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.47% (![]() | 40.52% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% (![]() | 31.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.42% (![]() | 67.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.84% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 56.8% | 1-1 @ 9.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 5.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 21.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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