Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sydney FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 35.29% ( | 24.67% ( | 40.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( | 44.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( | 66.64% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( | 24.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.95% ( | 59.05% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( | 22.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.56% ( | 55.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 27 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 24 |
| 9 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 20 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
