Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
57.63% | 22.38% | 19.98% |
Both teams to score 53.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.88% | 45.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.53% | 67.46% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% | 15.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.82% | 44.18% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.43% | 36.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.64% | 73.36% |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.86% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 6.15% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.49% Total : 57.63% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 5.63% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.66% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 37 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 24 |
8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 20 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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