Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
38.15% | 24.46% | 37.38% |
Both teams to score 59.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.89% | 43.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.49% | 65.51% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% | 22.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% | 56.08% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% | 22.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% | 56.67% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-1 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 52 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 42 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
12 | Macarthur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 26 |
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