Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
50.36% | 24.58% | 25.06% |
Both teams to score 53.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.07% | 48.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.98% | 71.01% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% | 19.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.72% | 51.28% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% | 33.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% | 70.63% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.26% Total : 25.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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