Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
