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Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK at Home Park
Plymouth
3 - 1
MK Dons
Wilson (4'), Ennis (37'), Whittaker (53')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Holland (19')
Tucker (49')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Wycombe
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 MK Dons
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 MK Dons

In a match with consequences at both ends of the table, we expect both sides to compete with vigour as they seek a crucial three points for different reasons. Despite this, it is impossible to envisage anything other than a comfortable Plymouth victory that will keep their quest for promotion on the right track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMK Dons
57.31% (0.63500000000001 0.64) 22.68% (-0.21 -0.21) 20.01% (-0.425 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.75% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (0.337 0.34)46.36% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (0.315 0.32)68.65% (-0.318 -0.32)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07% (0.33499999999999 0.33)15.93% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.82% (0.613 0.61)45.18% (-0.614 -0.61)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (-0.246 -0.25)37.26% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.243 -0.24)74.05% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 57.3%
    MK Dons 20.01%
    Draw 22.68%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.68%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 20.01%

How you voted: Plymouth vs MK Dons

Plymouth Argyle
90.3%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
1-4
Plymouth
Grigg (49')
Robson (70')
Whittaker (9'), Ennis (25'), Azaz (37', 59')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Plymouth
0-5
MK Dons

Wilson (32'), Houghton (42')
Houghton (45+2')
Twine (17', 40', 60', 77'), Darling (43')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
MK Dons
2-1
Plymouth
Jerome (22'), Fraser (89' pen.)
Jerome (62'), O'Hora (76')
Grant (61')
Mayor (45'), Edwards (89')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
MK Dons
Hardie (68')
Watts (80')

Keogh (34'), Sorensen (44'), Kasumu (79')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth31207457322567
2Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30198353203365
3Bolton WanderersBolton32178748232559
4Ipswich TownIpswich311512456312557
5Derby CountyDerby30159648252354
6Barnsley29165841271453
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe301551043291450
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury31146113933648
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough29142134538744
10Portsmouth29101183736141
11Charlton AthleticCharlton301010104541440
12Exeter CityExeter31109124242039
13Lincoln CityLincoln2981472931-238
14Bristol Rovers31108134353-1038
15Port Vale31107143246-1437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3299143640-436
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood30811113434035
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham3096152536-1133
19Burton Albion3087153857-1931
20MK Dons3185182846-1829
21Morecambe30610143249-1728
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2969142547-2227
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3075182551-2626
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3257202559-3422

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