Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
