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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
30.54% (![]() | 26.22% (![]() | 43.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.67% (![]() | 52.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.98% (![]() | 74.02% (![]() |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.49% (![]() | 31.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.1% (![]() | 67.9% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% (![]() | 24.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% (![]() | 58.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.54% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 10.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 51 |
7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
14 | Walsall | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 41 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 36 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
20 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 27 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 21 |
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