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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
39.55% (![]() | 27.23% (![]() | 33.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% (![]() | 55.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% (![]() | 76.74% (![]() |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% (![]() | 27.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% (![]() | 62.94% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.68% (![]() | 31.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.32% (![]() | 67.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 11.11% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 12.9% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.84% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.98% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 67 |
2 | Stevenage | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 52 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 |
6 | Salford City | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 49 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 48 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 48 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 46 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 42 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 41 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 41 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Walsall | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 40 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 33 |
19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 33 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Gillingham | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 27 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 21 |
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