

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 36.88% ( | 27.47% ( | 35.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( | 56.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( | 77.29% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( | 29.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.69% ( | 65.3% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( | 30.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.77% ( | 66.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leyton Orient | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 90 |
| P | Stevenage | 45 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 82 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 80 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 78 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 75 |
| 6 | Salford City | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 75 |
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 75 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 55 | 15 | 72 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 8 | 19 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 62 |
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 58 |
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 58 |
| 12 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 58 |
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 57 |
| 14 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
| 15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 55 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Walsall | 45 | 11 | 19 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 52 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 51 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
| 21 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 48 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 46 |
| R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 51 | 77 | -26 | 42 |
| R | Rochdale | 45 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 37 |
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