MX23RW : Sunday, April 16 04:10:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Barrow
Bradford City
Carlisle United
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
Hartlepool United
Leyton Orient
Mansfield Town
Newport County
Northampton Town
Rochdale
Salford City
Stevenage
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Sixfields
Northampton
2 - 1
Carlisle
Sherring (53'), Appere (56')
Fox (45'), Burge (83'), McGowan (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armer (50')
Whelan (41'), Armer (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Carlisle United

While both sides have proven difficult opponents to take points off in the league this season, Northampton Town's consistency of performance makes them one of the teams to beat in League Two. Carlisle have been strong performers away from home this season, however creation of meaningful opportunities has been a problem for Paul Simpson of late, and they may not have the attacking power to outscore their fellow promotion contenders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
47.29% (0.186 0.19) 24.81% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 27.9% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (0.314 0.31)47.82% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (0.289 0.29)70% (-0.291 -0.29)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.20400000000001 0.2)20.27% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (0.326 0.33)52.63% (-0.329 -0.33)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (0.088999999999999 0.09)31.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (0.105 0.11)67.43% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 47.28%
    Carlisle United 27.9%
    Draw 24.81%
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 47.28%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.9%

How you voted: Northampton vs Carlisle

Northampton Town
63.3%
Draw
30.0%
Carlisle United
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Northampton
Sho-Silva (74'), Gibson (90+4' pen.)
Riley (80')
Lewis (79')
McWilliams (31'), Horsfall (56'), Pinnock (80')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Northampton
3-0
Carlisle
Lewis (41', 57', 67' pen.)

Armer (66'), Guy (82')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Northampton
3-0
Carlisle
Bridge (48', 62'), Morias (72')
McWilliams (54')

Etuhu (32'), Hope (77')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
1.30pm
Rune
Rublev
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient412412556272984
2Northampton TownNorthampton422014855381774
3Stevenage412013856381873
4Stockport CountyStockport4220111158342471
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle421914960372371
6Bradford CityBradford411914854351971
7Mansfield TownMansfield4118121165501566
8Salford City421991464491566
9BarrowBarrow42188164647-162
10Sutton UnitedSutton421512154247-557
11Tranmere RoversTranmere421411174044-453
12Swindon TownSwindon411313155250252
13Grimsby Town411313154552-752
14Doncaster RoversDoncaster42157204359-1652
15Walsall421118134242051
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe411215144151-1051
17Newport CountyNewport411214154347-450
18Gillingham421212183045-1548
19AFC Wimbledon431114184653-747
20Colchester UnitedColchester421112194047-745
21Harrogate TownHarrogate41915174961-1242
22Crawley TownCrawley421011214569-2441
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool42815194872-2439
24Rochdale4289253965-2633

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!