Carlisle United 1-1 Sutton United - League Two - December 3, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

League Two

League Two | Gameweek 20

Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle

1 - 1

Sutton

Edmondson (30')
Guy (45+3'), Whelan (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Randall (45')
Eastmond (71'), Hart (90+3'), Kizzi (90+4')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Carlisle United 2-1 Sutton United

Despite Carlisle heading into this fixture 10 points clear of their opponents, we expect a closely-fought affair in Cumbria on Saturday. However, Simpson is building something special during his second spell there, and his side should just edge past Sutton. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Sutton United
43.86% ( 0.16)	27.41% ( -0.07)	28.73% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.55% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.36% (

0.2)

57.64% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.59% (

0.16)

78.4% (

-0.16)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

0.17)

26.1% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84% (

0.23)

61.16% (

-0.23)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.34% (

0.04)

35.65% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.57% (

0.04)

72.42% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 43.86%

Sutton United 28.73%

Draw 27.41%

Carlisle United	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.86%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.73%