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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
36.63% (![]() | 26.69% (![]() | 36.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.92% (![]() | 53.08% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.34% (![]() | 74.66% (![]() |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% (![]() | 27.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% (![]() | 63.57% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% (![]() | 27.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% (![]() | 63.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 12.69% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.95% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 57 |
2 | Stevenage | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Salford City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
6 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 41 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 40 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 39 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 39 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
14 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 37 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 37 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 31 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 24 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Gillingham | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 21 |
24 | Rochdale | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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