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Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at CNG Stadium
Harrogate
3 - 3
Carlisle
Armstrong (28'), Burrell (60'), Headley (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Charters (12'), Edmondson (50'), Moxon (90+3')
Edmondson (42')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Carlisle United

It should be a tight game at the EnviroVent Stadium, and the hosts should be up for it given their predicament. We expect Carlisle to be too strong for them, though, and they should pick up the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
36.63% (-1.315 -1.32) 26.69% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 36.68% (1.36 1.36)
Both teams to score 51.94% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (0.239 0.24)53.08% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (0.201 0.2)74.66% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (-0.651 -0.65)27.94% (0.649 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.83900000000001 -0.84)63.57% (0.837 0.84)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.93199999999999 0.93)27.91% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (1.175 1.18)63.53% (-1.177 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 36.63%
    Carlisle United 36.68%
    Draw 26.69%
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.165 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.266 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.17 0.17)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.18 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.68%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Carlisle

Harrogate Town
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Carlisle United
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
3-0
Carlisle
Diamond (18', 90+1'), McArdle (27')
Austerfield (66'), Sheron (70'), (72')

Devine (35'), Feeney (56')
Jan 4, 2022 7pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Carlisle
0-2
Harrogate

Guy (57')
Thomson (45+1'), Pattison (78')
Sheron (41'), Burrell (90+5')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient28176536171957
2Stevenage26167339182155
3Carlisle UnitedCarlisle28149548272151
4Northampton TownNorthampton27147642281449
5Salford City28136938281045
6Swindon TownSwindon2811983730742
7Mansfield TownMansfield2712694036442
8Bradford CityBradford2611873125641
9BarrowBarrow28124123337-440
10Stockport CountyStockport271161036251139
11AFC Wimbledon2710983028239
12Sutton UnitedSutton28116112835-739
13Tranmere RoversTranmere2710892923638
14Walsall2510783023737
15Doncaster RoversDoncaster26114113139-837
16Grimsby Town2596102932-333
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe2671092132-1131
18Colchester UnitedColchester2986152937-830
19Newport CountyNewport2778122631-529
20Crawley TownCrawley2567122941-1225
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2666143241-924
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2857162852-2422
23Gillingham2649131431-1721
24Rochdale2855182242-2020

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