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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Carlisle United |
34.99% (![]() | 28.02% (![]() | 36.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.64% (![]() | 58.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.03% (![]() | 78.97% (![]() |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% (![]() | 31.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% (![]() | 67.96% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% (![]() | 30.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% (![]() | 66.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.03% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.99% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.41% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 6.82% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 57 |
2 | Stevenage | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 46 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 42 |
6 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 41 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 40 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 38 |
11 | Walsall | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 37 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 37 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 36 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 36 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 35 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 30 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 26 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 24 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 22 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 22 |
23 | Gillingham | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Rochdale | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
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