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Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK at Rodney Parade
Newport
1 - 1
Carlisle
Moriah-Welsh (30')
Nevers (57'), Evans (71'), Bennett (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whelan (76')
Gibson (49')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Newport County 0-2 Carlisle United

Newport County might have the home advantage in this fixture, but that does not mean they will be considered the favourites heading into Saturday. The Exiles have struggled when it comes to finding the back of the net as of late, and considering the strong run that Carlisle United are enjoying they should be expected to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCarlisle United
43.46% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.2% (-0.256 -0.26) 30.34% (0.295 0.29)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.929 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.65% (1.13 1.13)52.35% (-1.134 -1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.96% (0.963 0.96)74.04% (-0.967 -0.97)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.476 0.48)23.93% (-0.48 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.84% (0.676 0.68)58.16% (-0.681 -0.68)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (0.795 0.8)31.67% (-0.799 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (0.906 0.91)68.08% (-0.91 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 43.45%
    Carlisle United 30.34%
    Draw 26.2%
Newport CountyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.45%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.347 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.34%

How you voted: Newport vs Carlisle

Newport County
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Carlisle United
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Newport
2-2
Carlisle
Telford (27', 30')
Haynes (48')
Upson (66'), Haynes (85')
Riley (1'), Clough (67' pen.)
McDonald (14'), Mellish (22')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Carlisle
3-2
Newport
Alessandra (15' pen.), Mellish (68', 81')
McDonald (48')
Devitt (84'), Sheehan (90+2')
Labadie (22')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-0
Newport
Patrick (5'), Kayode (33' pen.)
Hayden (45'), Anderton (57')

Gorman (32')
Inniss (44')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
FT
Chargers
30-31
Jags
6pm
Dolphins
@
Bills
9.30pm
Giants
@
Vikings
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient26176336132357
2Stevenage25157336181852
3Northampton TownNorthampton26137640281246
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle25119539251442
5Salford City25125834241041
6Swindon TownSwindon2611873325841
7Bradford CityBradford2511773125640
8BarrowBarrow26124103230240
9Mansfield TownMansfield2611693635139
10Stockport CountyStockport24114935231237
11Walsall2410773022837
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster25114103035-537
13AFC Wimbledon269982928136
14Sutton UnitedSutton27106112735-836
15Tranmere RoversTranmere269892823535
16Grimsby Town2486102632-630
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe247982028-830
18Newport CountyNewport2668122430-626
19Colchester UnitedColchester2675142633-726
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2566133240-824
21Crawley TownCrawley2457122639-1322
22Rochdale2655162239-1720
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2547142447-2319
24Gillingham243813928-1917

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