

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 3 | -2 | 1 | 
| 22 | Newport County | 3 | -3 | 1 | 
| 23 | Hartlepool United | 3 | -5 | 1 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 5 | 7 | 
| 3 | Salford City | 3 | 5 | 7 | 
| 4 | Northampton Town | 3 | 2 | 7 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City | 
| 42.32% (  0.04) | 26.62% (  -0.02) | 31.06% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 51% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.25% (  0.05) | 53.75% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.77% (  0.05) | 75.23% (  -0.05) | 
| Newport County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.87% (  0.04) | 25.13% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.17% (  0.06) | 59.83% (  -0.06) | 
| Salford City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.12% (  0.01) | 31.88% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.68% (  0.01) | 68.32% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City | 
| 1-0 @ 11.06% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 7.64% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.02% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.39% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% (  0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.32% | 1-1 @ 12.64% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.01% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% (  0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.16% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.23% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.24% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% (  0) 0-3 @ 2% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% (  0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.06% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 | 
| 2 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 18 | 
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 
| 4 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 
| 5 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 
| 7 | Wrexham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 15 | 
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 
| 9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 
| 10 | MK Dons | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 
| 11 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 
| 13 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 
| 14 | Morecambe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | 
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 | 
| 16 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 | 
| 17 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | 
| 19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 | 
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 | 
| 21 | Salford City | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | 
| 22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 | 
| 23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 | 
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 4 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
