

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 22 | Newport County | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 23 | Hartlepool United | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Salford City | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 3 | 2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
| 42.32% ( | 26.62% ( | 31.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.25% ( | 53.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.77% ( | 75.23% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( | 25.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.17% ( | 59.83% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( | 31.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.68% ( | 68.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.32% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 18 |
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
| 9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | MK Dons | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 | Morecambe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 |
| 21 | Salford City | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 |
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 4 |
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