

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 28.74% ( | 23.35% ( | 47.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.29% ( | 40.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( | 63.09% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( | 26.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.82% ( | 62.17% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( | 17.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.47% ( | 47.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 2-0 @ 4% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.74% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0-3 @ 4.2% ( 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 2-4 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 4.02% Total : 47.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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