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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
38.78% (![]() | 25.62% (![]() | 35.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.44% (![]() | 48.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% (![]() | 70.67% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.37% (![]() | 24.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.86% (![]() | 59.13% (![]() |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% (![]() | 26.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% (![]() | 61.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
1-0 @ 9.11% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 12.13% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.66% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |