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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
5 - 1
Stuttgart

Henrichs (51'), Olmo (63'), Openda (66'), Kampl (74'), Simons (76')
Rose (45+7'), Schlager (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (35')
Egloff (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Stuttgart

Stuttgart will carry plenty of threat in transition with the pace and finishing abilities of Silas and Guirassy, who will both be extremely confident after scoring twice each on the opening day. However, Leipzig's performance was not bad by any means despite being defeated away to Leverkusen on Sunday, and we expect them to bounce back given that their home form has been so impressive under Rose's tutelage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
38.78% (-1.147 -1.15) 25.62% (0.134 0.13) 35.6% (1.009 1.01)
Both teams to score 55.47% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (-0.464 -0.46)48.55% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (-0.424 -0.42)70.67% (0.42200000000001 0.42)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.80800000000001 -0.81)24.63% (0.805 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-1.143 -1.14)59.13% (1.138 1.14)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.37400000000001 0.37)26.4% (-0.378 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.499 0.5)61.56% (-0.503 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 38.78%
    Stuttgart 35.6%
    Draw 25.61%
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.78%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.229 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.6%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
80.6%
Draw
9.7%
Stuttgart
9.7%
103
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
2-1
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (25', 49')
Fuhrich (68' pen.)
Aug 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Stuttgart
1-1
RB Leipzig
Ahamada (31')
Wamangituka (64'), Mola (90+4')
Nkunku (8')
Sorloth (87')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Stuttgart
0-2
RB Leipzig

Coulibaly (8'), Tibidi (53'), Matarazzo (55'), Kalajdzic (90+2')
Silva (11' pen.), Nkunku (70')
Poulsen (55')
Aug 20, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
4-0
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (38', 52'), Forsberg (46'), Silva (65' pen.)

Kempf (64'), Forster (68'), Mavropanos (71')
Apr 25, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
2-0
Stuttgart
Haidara (46'), Forsberg (67' pen.)
Konate (24'), Henrichs (76')

Ahamada (14')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
17Holstein Kiel3467214980-3125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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