MX23RW : Monday, June 5 22:57:13| >> :60:115:115:
Hamburg logo
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 2nd Leg
Jun 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
1 - 3
Stuttgart
Kittel (6')
Kittel (65'), Muheim (65'), Bilbija (68'), Mikelbrencis (83'), Schonlau (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Millot (48', 64'), Wamangituka (90+6')
Mavropanos (25'), Guirassy (58'), Fuhrich (66'), Sosa (66'), Tomas (90+3'), Karazor (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between Hamburger SV and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Hamburger SV
Thursday, June 1 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Hamburger SV
Thursday, June 1 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

We said: Hamburger SV 1-1 Stuttgart

 Realistically, Hamburg can not afford to concede if they are to have any chance of finally returning to the Bundesliga, and they probably need to be leading at half time to have genuine belief of overturning a three-goal deficit. While stranger things have happened in football, we can not envisage Stuttgart letting their lead slip under Hoeness's tutelage, and they should comfortably secure their top flight status to inflict yet more agony on one of Germany's greatest clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Stuttgart has a probability of 24.75% and a draw has a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Stuttgart win is 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.24%).

Result
Hamburger SVDrawStuttgart
53.98% (-0.188 -0.19) 21.27% (0.223 0.22) 24.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 64.33% (-0.872 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.9% (-1.119 -1.12)34.1% (1.124 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.02% (-1.278 -1.28)55.98% (1.283 1.28)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (-0.428 -0.43)12.82% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.85% (-0.89 -0.89)39.15% (0.895 0.89)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.631 -0.63)26.21% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)61.31% (0.859 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 53.98%
    Stuttgart 24.75%
    Draw 21.27%
Hamburger SVDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.192 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart

Hamburger SV
42.7%
Draw
21.3%
Stuttgart
36.0%
89
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 7.45pm
Finals 1st Leg
Stuttgart
3-0
Hamburger SV
Mavropanos (1'), Vagnomann (51'), Guirassy (54')
Karazor (76')

Reis (15'), Konigsdorffer (73')
Suhonen (69')
> Preview
May 28, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-2
Hamburger SV
Endo (47'), Gonzalez (60' pen.), Castro (90+2')
Badstuber (45'), Forster (80'), Castro (90+3')
Pohjanpalo (16'), Hunt (45+2' pen.)
Vagnomann (78'), Hunt (88')
Oct 29, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Hamburger SV
1-2
Stuttgart
Hunt (16' pen.)
Jatta (51'), Narey (111')
Gonzalez (2' pen.), Al Ghaddioui (113')
Kempf (11'), Karazor (18'), Castro (51'), Mangala (67'), Badstuber (107')
Oct 26, 2019 12pm
gameweek 11
Hamburger SV
6-2
Stuttgart
Kittel (13' pen., 36'), Jatta (24'), Castro (56' og.), Harnik (76'), Fein (91')
Vagnoman (74')
Gonzalez (33'), Wamangituka (63')
Kempf (49'), Forster (66'), Castro (66')
Mar 31, 2018 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Hamburger SV
Ginczek (44')
Aogo (55')
Holtby (18')
Jung (57')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38285594336189
2Arsenal38266688434584
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
RLeicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
RLeeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725
> Premier League Full Table
Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative
Media Mole RHS news promo
Watch: Holly Willoughby delivers emotional monologue on This Morning return
Watch: Holly Willoughby delivers emotional monologue on This Morning return
Rob Mallard discusses Daniel-Daisy-Ryan love triangle in Coronation Street
Rob Mallard discusses Daniel-Daisy-Ryan love triangle in Coronation Street
Hollyoaks star Ashling O'Shea: 'Juliet's death will break Nadira's heart'
Hollyoaks star Ashling O'Shea: 'Juliet's death will break Nadira's heart'
Picture Spoilers: This week on EastEnders (Jun 5-8)
Picture Spoilers: This week on EastEnders (Jun 5-8)
Picture Spoilers: This week on Hollyoaks (June 5-9)
Picture Spoilers: This week on Hollyoaks (June 5-9)

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!