MX23RW : Thursday, June 1 23:02:09| >> :60:74:74:
Stuttgart
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 1st Leg
Jun 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
TBC
Hamburg logo
Stuttgart
3 - 0
Hamburger SV
Mavropanos (1'), Vagnomann (51'), Guirassy (54')
Karazor (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Reis (15'), Konigsdorffer (73')
Suhonen (69')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoff first-leg clash between Stuttgart and Hamburger SV, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 0-1 Hamburger SV
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Hamburger SV

 A closely-fought contest between two giants of German football, who are both three-time Bundesliga winners, is set to take place on Thursday, although Stuttgart will be regarded as slight favourites. As the two teams look to quickly brush aside the disappointment of failing to meet their desired targets last weekend, we believe that the hosts will come out on top to gain a first-leg advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Stuttgart has a probability of 36.78% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Stuttgart win is 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10%).

Result
StuttgartDrawHamburger SV
36.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.98% (0.0030000000000001 0) 40.25% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.36% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.87% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)52.09%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.36% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.012 -0.01)49.49% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 36.78%
    Hamburger SV 40.25%
    Draw 22.97%
StuttgartDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 40.25%

How you voted: 16th position upper div. vs 3rd position lower div.

16th position upper div.
62.7%
Draw
16.4%
3rd position lower div.
20.9%
67
Head to Head
May 28, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-2
Hamburger SV
Endo (47'), Gonzalez (60' pen.), Castro (90+2')
Badstuber (45'), Forster (80'), Castro (90+3')
Pohjanpalo (16'), Hunt (45+2' pen.)
Vagnomann (78'), Hunt (88')
Oct 29, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Hamburger SV
1-2
Stuttgart
Hunt (16' pen.)
Jatta (51'), Narey (111')
Gonzalez (2' pen.), Al Ghaddioui (113')
Kempf (11'), Karazor (18'), Castro (51'), Mangala (67'), Badstuber (107')
Oct 26, 2019 12pm
gameweek 11
Hamburger SV
6-2
Stuttgart
Kittel (13' pen., 36'), Jatta (24'), Castro (56' og.), Harnik (76'), Fein (91')
Vagnoman (74')
Gonzalez (33'), Wamangituka (63')
Kempf (49'), Forster (66'), Castro (66')
Mar 31, 2018 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Hamburger SV
Ginczek (44')
Aogo (55')
Holtby (18')
Jung (57')
Nov 4, 2017 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
3-1
Stuttgart
Hunt (20'), Kostic (65'), Arp (69')
Santos (46'), Papadopoulos (75')
Ginczek (55' pen.)
Burnic (4')
Burnic (12')
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