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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Stuttgart
Mainz
1 - 4
Stuttgart
Ingvartsen (23')
Kohr (61'), Bell (75'), Ajorque (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Endo (41'), Guirassy (64'), Fuhrich (78'), Coulibaly (90+1')
Endo (73')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Mainz
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Stuttgart

 Mainz have lost form at exactly the wrong time and drifting into mid-table now looks likely, while Stuttgart will be desperate for a win to keep themselves above water. Both Svensson and his opposite number Hoeness have never won when facing their respective opponents ahead of this encounter in four attempts apiece, and that record could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
40.97% (-0.473 -0.47) 24.64% (0.038 0.04) 34.39% (0.441 0.44)
Both teams to score 58.68% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)44.31% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-0.07 -0.07)66.69% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.255 -0.25)21.65% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.394 -0.39)54.78% (0.397 0.4)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.22099999999999 0.22)25.1% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2% (0.305 0.31)59.8% (-0.302 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 40.97%
    Stuttgart 34.39%
    Draw 24.64%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.064 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.39%

How you voted: Mainz vs Stuttgart

Mainz 05
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Stuttgart
21.4%
42
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Stuttgart
1-1
Mainz
Guirassy (36')
Wamangituka (70')
Ingvartsen (40' pen.)
Kohr (62'), Barreiro (79'), Fulgini (90+1')
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 30
Mainz
0-0
Stuttgart

Matarazzo (45+2'), Stenzel (70')
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 13
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz
Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 19
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 2
Mainz
1-4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
> Bundesliga Full Table
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