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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.12%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.07% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-3 (7.15%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | RB Leipzig |
20.07% | 19.81% | 60.12% |
Both teams to score 62.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.04% | 32.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.32% | 54.68% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.59% | 29.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.59% | 65.41% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.24% | 10.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.25% | 34.74% |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 5.28% 1-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.4% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.02% Total : 20.07% | 1-1 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 3.16% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.81% | 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-3 @ 5.85% 2-3 @ 4.38% 1-4 @ 3.99% 0-4 @ 3.26% 2-4 @ 2.44% 1-5 @ 1.78% 0-5 @ 1.45% 2-5 @ 1.09% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.2% Total : 60.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 33 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 32 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 31 |
6 | Freiburg | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 29 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 22 |
10 | FC Koln | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 21 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 19 |
14 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Stuttgart | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 39 | -22 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 9 |
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