Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 at 6.55pm UK
Stadyen Central'ny Vitsyebski

MKK-Dnepr
2 - 1
BATE

Glushkov (22'), Skopets (31' og.)
Pavlyuchenko (58'), Volkov (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Svirepa (57' pen.)
Svirepa (52'), Anufriev (61')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between MKK-Dnepr and BATE Borisov.

Form, Standings, Stats

MKK-Dnepr

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Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 0-2 MKK-Dnepr
Monday, May 12 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
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BATE Borisov

All competitions
Last Game: BATE 2-4 Dinamo Brest
Saturday, May 10 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MKK-Dnepr would win this match.

Result
MKK-DneprDrawBATE Borisov
48.33% (0.483 0.48)26.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)24.72% (-0.481 -0.48)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.77% (-0.313 -0.31)58.23% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.13% (-0.245 -0.25)78.87% (0.246 0.25)
MKK-Dnepr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.088999999999999 0.09)24.18% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.126 0.13)58.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63% (-0.609 -0.61)39.37% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93% (-0.571 -0.57)76.07% (0.57300000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    MKK-Dnepr 48.33%
    BATE Borisov 24.72%
    Draw 26.94%
MKK-DneprDrawBATE Borisov
1-0 @ 13.51% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.162 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 48.33%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.52% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 24.72%