MX23RW : Monday, May 26 12:48:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Tigres

Toluca
3 - 0
Tigres

Vega (18' pen., 82'), Lopez (79')
Paulinho (14'), Dominguez (37'), Gallardo (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Joaquim (16'), Sanchez (26')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Toluca
Thursday, May 15 at 4am in Liga MX

Tigres

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Toluca
Thursday, May 15 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawTigres
42.07% (-1.567 -1.57) 25.5% (0.26 0.26) 32.42% (1.307 1.31)
Both teams to score 55.11% (-0.325 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (-0.662 -0.66)48.69% (0.664 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.605 -0.61)70.8% (0.60600000000001 0.61)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-1.03 -1.03)23.01% (1.032 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-1.538 -1.54)56.82% (1.539 1.54)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (0.529 0.53)28.41% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (0.663 0.66)64.16% (-0.66199999999999 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 42.07%
    Tigres 32.42%
    Draw 25.5%
TolucaDrawTigres
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.07%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.339 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.287 0.29)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.151 0.15)
1-4 @ 1% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.42%

Head to Head
May 15, 2025 4am
Tigres
1-1
Toluca
Ibanez (19')
Angulo (89'), Guzman (90+3')
Paulinho (45+1')
Dominguez (90+3')
Feb 2, 2025 3.15am
Gameweek 5
Toluca
1-0
Tigres
Paulinho (90+1')
Pereira (31'), Vega (33'), Romero (37')

Pizarro (22'), Aquino (45+4'), Lainez (90+9'), Garcia (90+9')
Nov 7, 2024 1am
Gameweek 16
Tigres
2-1
Toluca
Gignac (4'), Brunetta (57')
Gallardo (79')
Violante (54')
Mar 2, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 10
Toluca
2-1
Tigres
Vega (54'), Volpi (71' pen.)
Vega (52'), Lopez (90+6')
Herrera (35')
Pizarro (52'), Guzman (56'), Sanchez (68')
Cordova (45+6')
Oct 5, 2023 4am
Gameweek 11
Tigres
2-2
Toluca
Angulo (45+5'), Gignac (76')
Gignac (48'), Carioca (63'), Angulo (68'), Herrera (90+9'), Flores (90+9')
Ruiz (44'), Morales (90+4')
Meneses (24'), Isais (59'), Morales (77'), Ruiz (90+2')
Meneses (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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