
Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 15, 2025 at 4am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Tigres1 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigres 2-2 Necaxa
Monday, May 12 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Monday, May 12 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Monterrey
Sunday, May 11 at 2am in Liga MX
Sunday, May 11 at 2am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%).
Result | ||
Tigres | Draw | Toluca |
52.2% | 23.48% | 24.32% |
Both teams to score 55.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% | 44.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% | 67.23% |
Tigres Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.81% | 17.19% |