Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 17, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez
Atletico San Luis0 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Friday, April 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Friday, April 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Toluca
Sunday, April 13 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, April 13 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Toluca |
33.09% ( 4.21) | 23.95% ( 0.66) | 42.95% ( -4.88) |
| Both teams to score 60.76% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
