St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park

St Patrick's
2 - 2
Waterford

Melia (28', 33')
Hoare (38'), Baggley (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lonergan (2'), Noonan (80')
McDonald (40'), Leahy (51'), Lonergan (83'), Burke (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Waterford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 4-0 St Patrick's
Monday, May 19 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Waterford United

All competitions
Last Game: Waterford 1-3 Shamrock
Friday, May 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawWaterford United
67.69% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)12.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.84% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (-0.108 -0.11)48.17% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-0.099 -0.1)70.32% (0.101 0.1)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)13.24% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)40.02% (0.07 0.07)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.69% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)48.31% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54% (-0.067 -0.07)83.46% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 67.68%
    Waterford United 12.42%
    Draw 19.89%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawWaterford United
2-0 @ 13.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 67.68%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 19.89%
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 12.42%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Waterford

St Patrick's Athletic
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Waterford United
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Waterford
1-2
St Patrick's
Amond (14')
McMenamy (60'), Horton (87'), Leahy (89')
Leahy (88' og.), Kavanagh (90')
Elbouzedi (55'), Baggley (59')
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
St Patrick's
3-0
Waterford
Elbouzedi (35'), Melia (39'), Keena (77')
Grivosti (29'), Melia (44'), Forrester (75')

McMenamy (32')
Jul 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Waterford
1-0
St Patrick's
McCormack (52')
Radkowski (61'), Horton (74'), Parsons (84')

Lennon (46'), Breslin (70')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
St Patrick's
1-1
Waterford
Kavanagh (65')
Melia (37'), Bolger (41'), Forrester (90+5')
Asamoah (13')
McCourt (29'), Long (30'), Asamoah (38'), McCormack (73')
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Waterford
3-1
St Patrick's
Amond (7', 41'), Asamoah (70')
Amond (56'), McDonald (77'), Power (81')
Breslin (34')
Lennon (56')