League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 15
May 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Waterford
1 - 0
Galway United

Leahy (27')
Glenfield (36'), Leahy (67'), Radkowski (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCormack (56'), Slevin (65'), McCarthy (86')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Waterford United and Galway United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 0-1 Waterford
Monday, May 5 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Galway United 1-2 Bohemians
Monday, May 5 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Waterford UnitedDrawGalway United
30.95% (1.486 1.49)26.77% (0.102 0.1)42.28% (-1.585 -1.59)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (0.175 0.18)54.38% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (0.145 0.15)75.76% (-0.142 -0.14)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (1.173 1.17)32.28% (-1.169 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22% (1.307 1.31)68.78% (-1.303 -1.3)
Galway United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.724 -0.72)25.43% (0.727 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-1.002 -1)60.25% (1.006 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Waterford United 30.95%
    Galway United 42.28%
    Draw 26.76%
Waterford UnitedDrawGalway United
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.232 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.257 0.26)
2-0 @ 5.25% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.95%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 42.28%

Head to Head
Mar 14, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Galway United
1-0
Waterford
Borden (80')
Brouder (46'), Dyer (86'), Hickey (86')

McMenamy (43'), Pouwels (77')
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Waterford
1-2
Galway United
Walsh (62'), Brouder (69')
Clarke (10'), Caulfield (11'), McCormack (34'), Hickey (44'), Cunningham (90+6')
Jul 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Galway United
1-0
Waterford
Hickey (23')
McCormack (39'), Nugent (53'), Hickey (53'), Nugent (68')

Radkowski (33'), Horton (36'), Parsons (45+2')
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Waterford
0-0
Galway United
Burke (22'), Asamoah (69'), Parsons (75')
Burke (89')
Clarke (58'), McCormack (66'), Brouder (72'), Dervin (90+4')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Galway United
2-1
Waterford
Borden (48'), Hurley (79')
McCormack (51'), Horgan (67'), O'Sullivan (85')
Amond (18')
Parsons (24'), Macadam (55'), Leahy (74')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shamrock RoversShamrock19106333161736
2Drogheda UnitedDrogheda197932519630
3Bohemians1810082119230
4St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's198562622429
5Shelbourne196942220227
6Derry CityDerry188372221127
7Galway United186662121024
8Waterford UnitedWaterford187292030-1023
9Cork City182792131-1013
10Sligo RoversSligo1833122234-1212


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