Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Aug 21, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Atletico San Luis1 - 0Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 3-2 Pumas
Friday, August 19 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Friday, August 19 at 3.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Mazatlan | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | CD Guadalajara | 9 | 2 | 9 |
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Monterrey
Thursday, August 18 at 1am in Liga MX
Thursday, August 18 at 1am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Monterrey | 10 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 10 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Tigres | 9 | 5 | 19 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico San Luis in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Toluca |
| 42.94% ( | 27.05% ( | 30.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.22% ( | 55.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.09% ( | 76.91% ( |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( | 25.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.35% ( | 60.65% ( |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.31% ( | 33.68% ( |

