Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Preston
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
82
We said: Oxford United 1-3 Leeds United
Threatening to produce a winning run at a crucial stage of the campaign, Leeds look set to move one step closer to the Premier League with a free-scoring success at the Kassam on Good Friday. Farke's side could wobble in the early stages against a spirited Oxford, but we feel that the visitors will eventually get the job done on the road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.62%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Leeds United |
11.69% ( 0.78) | 19.16% ( 0.52) | 69.15% ( -1.3) |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
