Middlesbrough

2 - 1

Oxford Utd

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.