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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2025 at 8pm UK
Carrow Road
Oxford United

Norwich
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Sargent (5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harris (18')
Moore (69'), Brown (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Coventry
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawOxford United
62.48% (-1.278 -1.28)21.3% (0.659 0.66)16.22% (0.621 0.62)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.733 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (-1.7 -1.7)46.36% (1.7 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (-1.621 -1.62)68.64% (1.622 1.62)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-0.92700000000001 -0.93)14.25% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.99% (-1.837 -1.84)42.01% (1.839 1.84)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (-0.221 -0.22)41.63% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (-0.197 -0.2)78.12% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 62.47%
    Oxford United 16.22%
    Draw 21.29%
Norwich CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 11.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-0 @ 3.56% (-0.232 -0.23)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 62.47%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.316 0.32)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.416 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.29%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.335 0.34)
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 16.22%

How you voted: Norwich vs Oxford Utd

Norwich City
82.8%
Draw
8.0%
Oxford United
9.2%
87
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Oxford Utd
2-0
Norwich
Harris (28'), Brannagan (58')
Rodrigues (75')

Sargent (45+1'), Doyle (56'), Sorensen (87')