Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City | 
| 54.17% (  0.45) | 23.63% (  -0.15) | 22.2% (  -0.31) | 
| Both teams to score 52.92% (  0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.29% (  0.28) | 47.71% (  -0.28) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.1% (  0.26) | 69.9% (  -0.26) | 
| Norwich City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.48% (  0.27) | 17.51% (  -0.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.97% (  0.47) | 48.03% (  -0.47) | 
| Stoke City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.15% (  -0.13) | 35.84% (  0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.38% (  -0.14) | 72.62% (  0.13) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City | 
| 1-0 @ 10.93% (  -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.78% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 9.53% (  0.06) 3-1 @ 5.68% (  0.06) 3-0 @ 5.53% (  0.08) 3-2 @ 2.91% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 2.41% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 1.27% (  0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 11.22% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.28% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.02% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1% (  0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.44% (  -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.76% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.3% (  -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.97% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.72% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% (  -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.2% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 | 
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 | 
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 | 
| P | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 | 
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 | 
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 | 
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 | 
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 | 
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 | 
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 | 
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 | 
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 | 
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 | 
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 | 
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 | 
| > Championship Full Table | |||||||||
