FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Stoke3 - 3Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Leeds 7-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
We say: Stoke City 1-1 Cardiff City (a.e.t, Stoke to win on penalties)
An encounter as close as the Championship table would suggest should be on the cards on Saturday, where Stoke may not be best-placed to capitalise on Cardiff's recent Leeds collapse given their lack of output at home. The lottery of penalties may be required to separate the two second-tier sides, where the Potters have our vote to maximise home advantage, lift their Cardiff curse and progress to round five. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%).
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
45.03% ( -0.01) | 26.22% ( -0) | 28.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
