Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Championship
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Sunderland
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Cardiff City 2-0 Derby County
Looking to continue their impressive unbeaten run in January, Cardiff should have more than enough quality to cause Derby serious issues this weekend. The Rams look like a different team amid an injury crisis in defence, and we feel that Warne's men will slump to yet another defeat on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Derby County |
43.57% ( -0.05) | 27.27% ( -0) | 29.15% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
