Championship

Championship | Gameweek 26

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby

McNally (19')
Mehmeti (28'), McCrorie (35'), Roberts (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thompson (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-2 Derby
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Derby County
57.13% ( -0.98)	24.61% ( 0.3)	18.26% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 44.27% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.81% (

-0.21)

56.19% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.75% (

-0.17)

77.25% (

0.17)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41% (

-0.46)

19.59% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47% (

-0.75)

51.53% (

0.74)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.05% (

0.7)

44.94% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.11% (

0.55)

80.89% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 57.12%

Derby County 18.26%

Draw 24.6%

Bristol City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 57.12%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Derby

Bristol City

73.9%

Draw

10.9%

Derby County

15.2%

Head to Head

Aug 31, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 4

Derby

3-0

Bristol City

Goudmijn (28'), Jackson (60'), Ozoh (89')
Nyambe (76')

> Preview

Apr 23, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 44

Derby

1-3

Bristol City

Forsyth (61')
Byrne (54')

Weimann (10'), Semenyo (38'), Klose (79')
Williams (9'), Benarous (16'), Semenyo (63')

> Preview

Dec 4, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 21

Bristol City

1-0

Derby

Scott (16')
Bakinson (39'), Kalas (45+1'), Pring (80')

Knight (39'), Forsyth (40')

> Preview

Jan 30, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 27

Derby

1-0

Bristol City

Kazim-Richards (4')
Waghorn (85')

Vyner (54')

> Match Report

Nov 21, 2020 3pm

Gameweek 12

Bristol City

1-0

Derby

Diedhiou (78')
Paterson (46')

Buchanan (58')

> Match Report

Form Guide

Plymouth 2-2 Bristol City

Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth

Bristol City 1-0 Luton

West Brom 2-0 Bristol City

Bristol City 1-1 QPR

Sunderland 1-1 Bristol City

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table